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Table 4 Model-based and empirical mean risks for first-attempt intubation failure, classified by model-based risk deciles (n = 1,200)

From: Airway management by physician-staffed Helicopter Emergency Medical Services – a prospective, multicentre, observational study of 2,327 patients

 

Decile

 

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Model-based risk

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.11

0.14

0.21

0.35

Empirical risk

0.04

0.02

0.01

0.07

0.07

0.12

0.07

0.16

0.25

0.26

  1. The model-based risks are based on 10-fold cross-validation predictions from the mixed-effects logistic risk model for first-attempt intubation failure, using estimated conditional modes for the random effects